stock market guru [Updated August 2001]

SMG  2 prizes Beginners Single Elim Continuous 
 
  
    Demo 9    10  Round 2  12  Final

   Valley

Charles Ellsworth, NY

2001 Champion

2nd: Chuck Foster, TX

3rd: Ken Gutermuth, GA

4th: Darren Velez, GA

5th: Tom Cannon, NJ

6th: Bob Foster, ID
Event History
1991    None      -
1992    None      -
1993    None      -
1994    Ken Gutermuth      17
1995    Bruce Reiff      13
1996    Andy Lewis      26
1997    Debbie Otto      18
1998    Ken Gutermuth      21
1999    Malcolm Robinson     13
2000    Bruce Reiff     26
2001    Charles Ellsworth     17

AREA Ratings:

GM: Chris Palermo

Investing for the truly nervous ...

It was a Bull market for attendance this year, with only 17 in attendance - a sharp decline from last year, although there were more choices for attendees this year on Sunday morning.

The first round saw two tables of six players, and one table of five. The 5-player table took the entire two hours, while the
6-player tables were adjudicated (with a two-turn notice). Advancing to the final round were the top two players from each table. This comprised: Tom Cannon, Charles Ellsworth, Bob Foster (who bowed out, needing to catch a plane), Chuck Foster, Ken Gutermuth and Darren Velez.

In the final, Cannon and Foster leapt to an early lead, riding Stryker Drilling. Stryker Drilling, normally the most risky commodity, had had a fairly stable day, actually registering four straight increases at one table in the preliminaries, splitting after it reached $200/share.

Sadly, Cannon and Foster kept their Stryker stocks too long, and by turn 5, it had gone belly-up. In all, four players lost all their shares in the bankruptcy.

Cannon was the first to go out, as well, falling prey to the "margin call." Basically, he didn't have enough cash to pay for his interest - rules state, if you sell even one share of a stock you purchased on margin, the entire balance must be paid. He only had two other stocks - United Auto and Metro - both purchased on margin, and, as luck would have it, both had seen
their stock prices cut in half due to business failure checks one turn after he purchased them. There was no feasible way he could pay his balance, and he was mathematically eliminated.

Meanwhile, Ellsworth was quietly playing his hunches right - he bought bonds at the most expensive point in the game, and sure enough, they increased in value the following turn. Foster had diversified enough to stay competitive, but Gutermuth needed something desperate, and began buying Uranium in droves.Velez had remained a quiet threat, but he was seeing his
stocks dip each turn, and couldn't sell any, due to the pending margin call (i.e., he'd face the same fate as Cannon).

Uranium began a rapid climb in price, and Gutermuth began swapping stocks fast. He sold his Uranium to buy MORE Uranium and then, dipped into Stryker. In the end, however, it was too little, too late...one mediocre rise by Stryker, and the game was over. Foster made it close, but Ellsworth's careful buying strategy, and reliable stocks secured the win.

As an added tidbit, Ellsworth was the only player to not buy anything on margin. Consequently, his entire yield (which was substantial, owing to the tax-free bonds), went towards purchasing smaller stocks, which he rode for a few turns at a time.

There will be substantial changes made next year - in the preliminaries and the finals. Firstly, it's quite possible the two will be held on separate days. Although only two people showed up for the training session, a great many more were unfamiliar with the game during play, which caused the games to take longer. Optional Rule 10.3 (Insider Trading) will be dropped, joining
Optional Rule 10.7 (selling short). Thus, the only rules used will be 10.1 (Tax-free bonds); 10.2 (IRA) and 10.4 (margin). Additionally, we will use random seating at all tables, and we will definitely begin to employ the simulataneous purchasing originally seen in Stocks and Bonds. Otherwise, with savvy players, someone who is trailing, and always going before the leader, has NO chance of victory.

 GM      Chris Palermo  [2nd Year]   NA
    NA   NA

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